The preliminary statewide average October temperature was 56.7 degrees, 1.9 degrees above the 1991–2020 average and tied for the 31st warmest on record going back to 1895. The preliminary statewide total October precipitation was 3.46 inches, 0.20 inches above the 1991–2020 average and the 41st wettest on record. Data are provisional and may change slightly […]
Category: El Nino
Forecast for October, Fall, and Winter – Warmer Than Average
The NWS Climate Prediction Center released their latest outlook for October and beyond. It looks like the warm-than-average weather is expected to continue for the next several months. The primary driver in the forecast is the ongoing El Niño in the Pacific Ocean basin. October Illinois has an increased chance of above-average temperatures for October. […]
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New El Nino Fact Sheet Released for the Midwest
A number of Midwestern regional climate service partners, including state climatologists, regional climate centers, and NOAA offices, put together a two-page fact sheet on El Niño status and impacts in the Midwest. Full Fact Sheet link: ENSO-Midwest-September2015 Here is a snapshot of a piece in the fact sheet.
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Updated El Nino Forecast
There is a 95% chance that El Niño will continue through winter and gradually weaken through spring 2016, according to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center today. That remains essentially unchanged from last month’s outlook. As noted in a earlier post, this increases the chances of a mild winter in Illinois. Here are the recent sea […]